WTN Mirror Studies

Study 8 of 8 in Switching

The cost of switching, counted honestly

Cheap enough to do freely, expensive enough not to do absent mindedly.

The question

How much does moving from one address to another actually cost a reader?

The three WTN mirror addresses

  • hn2paw7zfvndw3dovycegeqmvvnf4pl67b3g2p7pohjlzavloosh73id.onion
  • hn2paw7zrgujyhnt6mgxlt2q6uhgbke4itpqitxhyfbumq3wtnckbuyd.onion
  • hn2paw7zadwkcra3qzv5e4q547i7e5lvxm62cfxqftuqdu7moiu2ceyd.onion

Set out flat, in the arrangement they were handed over, with nothing added. Nothing on this page marks one of them as the main one, because on this site that would be the one claim the studies are all arguing against. This reference opens none of them and measures nothing about them.

The itemised cost

Pasting a string
Seconds, assuming the set is somewhere you can reach. Considerably more if it is not, which is the real variable.
The entrance
Whatever stands at the front of a route you have not used lately, presented again because it is per route.
Signing in
The same credentials as always, entered again on a route that has not seen you.
Unsubmitted text
Whatever was in a form. This is the only item that can be large and it is entirely determined by timing.
Familiarity
Small and real. A route you use rarely takes slightly longer to navigate because your eye is less used to it.

Four of the five are fixed

Pasting, the entrance, signing in and familiarity cost roughly the same whenever you do it. Together they amount to a minute of mild irritation, which is not a reason to avoid anything.

The fifth item is different in kind. It is zero at the start of a visit and potentially large in the middle of one.

So the cost is a timing question

A switch at the start of a visit costs a minute. A switch mid form costs a minute plus the form. That is the whole of the analysis, and it is why every piece of advice in this section is about when rather than whether.

It is also why rotating on purpose is recommended and casual mid visit switching is not, despite being the same physical act.

The cost of not being able to switch

Worth putting on the other side of the ledger. A reader who cannot switch, because the other two strings are not within reach, faces a search instead. That is the comparison in what a second address buys you, and against it a minute of friction is nothing.

The costs in this study are only worth counting because they are the reason people avoid the move that is almost always correct.

The hidden cost of frequent switching

One that is easy to miss: a reader who moves often never becomes fluent on any one route, and small unfamiliarity makes the adjacent page problem more likely, which feeds the divergence section.

It is a minor effect and it is the only real argument against rotating more often than occasionally.

What the cost is not

  • It is not a risk to anything saved. Nothing placed, sent or held is affected.
  • It is not a cost paid by the market or by anyone else.
  • It is not cumulative. Two switches cost twice one switch, and nothing degrades.

The comparison worth making

A minute of friction against a search conducted under pressure. Framed that way, nobody would ever choose the search, and yet readers choose it regularly because the minute is visible and the search is hypothetical until it happens.

The summary

A switch costs about a minute, plus whatever you had typed. Keep the second term at zero by switching at the start of a visit, and the whole subject reduces to a minute you should be very willing to spend.

The number worth carrying

About a minute, plus whatever you had typed. Not because the minute is precise, but because having a rough figure stops the cost being imagined as larger than it is, which is what makes readers avoid the move.

People overestimate the cost of switching and underestimate the cost of not being able to. Putting a rough size on the first is the cheapest way to correct both at once, and the size is small enough to end the argument.

If there were only one address

There would be no cost because there would be no move. There would also be no minute long alternative to a search, which is the thing this cost buys. The itemised friction here is the price of an option, and the option is the single most valuable thing plurality provides.

What this study is not. It is not a measurement, and no figure here is anything more than a description of what a reader has to do.

Every page on this site

How this site thinksThe addressesPluralityThree addresses can describe one marketWhat a second address actually buys youWhat a second address costs the readerA second mirror is not a backup of the firstThe head all three addresses shareWhy the set is three and not fiftyPlurality is not a promise that one will answerNobody on this side decides what the set containsChoosingThere is no correct address to open firstOpening the first address you seeAfter a while, habit picks for youReading order is not a rankingChoosing badly happens when you are in a hurryRotating between the three on purposeLoad time as a tiebreak, and where it failsThe choice you only make once per visitEquivalenceOne account, reachable from any of the threeThe inbox is one object, seen from three routesAn order does not belong to the address it came fromA balance is not held per addressThe circuit is yours, not the address'sA session does not follow you across addressesChecks at the front door are per routeWhere the sameness stopsDivergenceWhen two addresses seem to disagreeA stale page is not a stale marketYour own browser can manufacture a differenceTwo front pages that do not matchOne route slow, one quick, one marketSomething on one route and not the otherThe kind of difference that mattersTelling a real difference from an apparent oneSwitchingWhat carries when you switch mid visitWhat is dropped the moment you switchSwitching while an order is half writtenSwitching while a message is half typedProblems switching will not fixTwo routes open in two tabsThe moments where switching is the right moveThe cost of switching, counted honestlyAbsenceOne route quiet, two answeringTwo quiet, one answeringAll three quiet at onceWhat silence cannot tell youThe quiet that is on your sideRoutes that go quiet and come backNothing announces that a route went quietWhy there is no uptime number hereListsA list is a copy, not the thingHow a list goes staleTwo honest lists can differA list longer than the setWhat a list can and cannot proveThe list you keep yourselfReading the age of a listA list that ranks its entriesMistakesMixing characters from two addressesAssuming the set has an orderTreating one address as the real siteKeeping one and not the setJudging the market by one routeRetyping an address from memoryExpecting one route to point at anotherBlaming the market for a route level problemAll studiesThe words people type